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What Signs of a Market Bottom are You Looking For?

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"Although timing a “bottom” here is difficult, but it isn’t just like we are riding out volatility from the war or a slowing economy - we are truly at the behest of the Fed and its attitude on interest rates. If the Fed decides it wants to raise rates to 5%, the bottom is going to be much lower than if they telegraph they are going to raise until 3% and then stop.

This is the guessing game the market is trying to play: identifying the very first moment that the Fed gives any sign that it is going to back off its plans in the slightest (easing). So far, Jerome Powell has done a great job communicating to the market that this point isn’t near."

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